SKU Amstetten vs SKN St. Polten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
10º
9º
16
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 60 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 56 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 54 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 33 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 28 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 24 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKU Amstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
HER
1 - 0
AMS
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
AWM
2 - 2
AMS
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
AMS
2 - 0
STU
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
KRE
1 - 1
AMS
19%
20%
62%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
2 - 3
AMS
73%
17%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
SKN
2 - 1
VIE
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
SKN
4 - 2
SWB
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
AUS
1 - 4
SKN
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 5
SKN
8%
15%
77%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
SVH
2 - 7
SKN
4%
12%
84%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |