AFC II vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HOE
1 - 0
AFC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 6
TER
20%
19%
60%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
RVV
3 - 1
AFC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 1
ARG
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 1
AFC
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 0
RVV
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
STE
1 - 1
SWI
59%
20%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RIJ
2 - 1
SWI
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 2
TER
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |