Americano vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 3
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
UBE
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
BOA
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
ITA
71%
17%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |