América vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
AME
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
AME
0 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VER
3 - 2
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
PUM
4 - 3
AME
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 0
TIG
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
IRA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
QRO
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 3
IRA
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
1 - 1
MOR
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |