América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
AME
0 - 1
TIG
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
AME
0 - 4
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
EST
0 - 5
AME
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AME
1 - 3
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAZ
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
CAZ
2 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CUE
0 - 0
CAZ
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |