América U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 3
AME
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
GUA
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AME
5 - 1
SNT
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUM
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
GBL
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 0
SNT
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
4 - 1
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |