América SP vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 2
AME
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AME
1 - 3
VOC
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
OSV
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
AME
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
OSV
1 - 2
FER
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
TAN
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ASS
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 1
FER
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |