América RN vs Coríntians RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 0
CRB
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 1
ARN
19%
21%
61%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Coríntians RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
GLO
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
COR
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |