América Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 1
AME
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
AME
3 - 1
MIX
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
IZT
1 - 0
AME
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AME
0 - 4
AUR
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
AME
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 2
ESC
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 0
TOR
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
NUE
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |