3. Liga - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 3-0
Amberg vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 0
AMB
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 0
HEI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AMB
2 - 1
AHA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ANS
2 - 3
AMB
13%
21%
65%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AMB
4 - 0
NEU
81%
12%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 0
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 6
VRG
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
HEI
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WAC
2 - 2
VRG
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 4
WUR
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |