Amatitlán vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TEC
2 - 1
AMA
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
ANT
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 2
AMA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ACH
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 0
ANT
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
ACH
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
SAY
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |