Amarante vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
AMA
55%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
COI
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
SOU
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
AMA
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
CIN
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 3
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
VIL
36%
26%
37%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAL
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 3
COI
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |