Amarante vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
AMA
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +5 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 1
AMA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GON
2 - 1
COI
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 1
GON
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GON
3 - 0
VIL
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUS
5 - 0
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GON
2 - 0
SOB
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |