Amarante vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 2
AMA
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
COI
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
AMA
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
AMA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 2
CIN
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CES
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
4 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
RDA
55%
24%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |