Amarante U19 vs Varzim U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
9º
8º
39
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
TRF
31%
22%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MER
6 - 2
AMA
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
AMA
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MIR
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMA
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TRF
0 - 2
VAR
38%
22%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAR
15%
18%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |