Amanecer vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
AMA
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
CPC
11%
19%
71%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DBN
4 - 0
AMA
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
SNV
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MIA
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
MON
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |