Amagaju vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amagaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
AMA
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 0
GFC
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
KIY
0 - 0
AMA
48%
25%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
ASK
38%
30%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
RAY
32%
28%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
MUK
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
BUG
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
APR
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 3
BUG
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
SUN
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |