Amadense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
AMA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 0
SOC
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMA
46%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMA
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |