AlzanoCene vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
ALZ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALZ
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALZ
0 - 0
TRI
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
REN
3 - 0
ALZ
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ALZ
2 - 0
DAR
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
TRI
23%
25%
53%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PER
0 - 3
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |