AlzanoCene vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
ALZ
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 2
REG
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
ALZ
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ABN
5 - 0
ALZ
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 2
PRO
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CES
3 - 1
ASL
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CES
1 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |