Älvsjö AIK vs Värmdö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älvsjö AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VAR
4 - 0
AAF
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AAF
1 - 3
AKR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SIF
2 - 2
AAF
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AAF
2 - 4
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
NYK
1 - 2
AAF
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Värmdö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
ESK
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PIF
3 - 5
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
ENS
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
KFF
1 - 1
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
GUT
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |