Alvorada vs Messejanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALV
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
3 - 0
ODE
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 2
CAS
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 1
SAN
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Messejanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
ODE
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
MES
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEG
1 - 1
MES
35%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |