Alverna vs Hoogland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 4
ALV
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
TVC
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
ALV
18%
20%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RKH
2 - 1
ALV
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
FVC
51%
21%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HOO
0 - 0
SIL
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 1
HOO
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HOO
1 - 0
RHE
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HOO
2 - 1
BAB
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 4
HOO
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |