Alverna vs De Bataven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
7 - 1
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 3
ALV
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
QUI
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RKH
0 - 1
ALV
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 0
ALC
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DEB
2 - 0
DIE
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DEB
1 - 5
HOL
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -3 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 3
DEB
45%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEB
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEB
1 - 2
QUI
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |