FC Alverca vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALV
0 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 1
ALV
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
EST
0 - 3
ALV
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 3
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
VST
3 - 1
MAI
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
VST
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
VST
2 - 1
OVA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |