FC Alverca vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ALV
2 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
ALV
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
ALV
2 - 0
AMO
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALV
3 - 0
MAF
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ALV
2 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SPB
3 - 1
CEL
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SPB
2 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SPB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
WOL
0 - 2
SPB
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 0
PAÇ
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |