FC Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
1º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 4
ALV
28%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
3 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
FEL
37%
27%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |