Alvarado vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
ALV
0 - 0
VIL
31%
26%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
RSA
4 - 2
ALV
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
ALV
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ALV
1 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CIP
2 - 1
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
CIP
30%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BHU
1 - 0
RIV
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
GBR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |