Alvarado vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 0
ALV
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
SDM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALV
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
3 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
ALV
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 0
ALV
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CIP
0 - 2
DRO
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
DRO
3 - 1
CIP
42%
26%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
DRO
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |