Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
ALV
57%
26%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 1
SJO
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
ALV
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SDM
1 - 3
ALV
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DFR
3 - 4
SAR
30%
29%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 0
DFR
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DFR
0 - 1
EST
42%
29%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 0
DFR
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 2
DFR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |