Aluvión vs Mutilvera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDI
3 - 2
ALU
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDA
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERR
1 - 0
ALU
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 0
ART
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AZK
0 - 3
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mutilvera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 0
GAR
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AOI
0 - 0
MUT
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 3
CDC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
MUT
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDI
1 - 1
MUT
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |