Aluvión vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+243%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ERR
3 - 1
ALU
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
ALU
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MEN
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 1
PEN
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUS
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
PEN
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ERR
3 - 1
RIV
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 0
MUS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 3
LAG
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CDL
3 - 1
RIV
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |