Aluvión vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
ALU
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALU
1 - 1
RIV
24%
25%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AZK
1 - 2
ALU
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALU
2 - 4
LOU
39%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUÑ
3 - 1
ALU
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
AZK
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
LOU
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BUÑ
2 - 5
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LAP
1 - 2
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |