Aluvión vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
ALU
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 2
CHA
17%
24%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALU
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
SJU
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 3
ALU
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
IZA
0 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AOI
2 - 1
IZA
9%
20%
71%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
IZA
2 - 1
TUD
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
COR
0 - 5
IZA
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IZA
3 - 0
OBE
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |