Aluvión vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALU
0 - 1
TUD
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALU
51%
26%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 2
HAR
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 0
UDM
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
OBE
2 - 1
ALU
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
IZA
2 - 0
VAL
36%
28%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AGO
2 - 3
IZA
36%
28%
37%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
IZA
1 - 1
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 3
IZA
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 0
IZA
39%
29%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |