Aluvión vs Gares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AOI
2 - 0
ALU
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDI
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AZK
0 - 0
ALU
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALU
1 - 2
ABL
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALU
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
JUA
0 - 1
GAR
24%
26%
49%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
INF
61%
21%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BET
1 - 1
GAR
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |