Alumni Villa Maria vs Atlético Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AFV
0 - 1
CAA
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CUA
0 - 3
CAA
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
2 - 1
SAR
40%
27%
34%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
1 - 2
AFV
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 1
CUA
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 3
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 1
CVO
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 1
ALP
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
4 - 0
CUC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CVO
1 - 1
ALP
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |