Alumni Villa Maria vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
CAA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAA
1 - 0
JNE
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
3 - 0
CAA
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 1
GAF
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
SRI
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
NEW
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |