Aluminium Naq Hammadi vs El Gounah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
15º
9º
69
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Naq Hammadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BSF
0 - 1
ALU
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 4
MST
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALU
7 - 0
QEN
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
TBS
2 - 1
ALU
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
El Gounah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASY
1 - 3
GOU
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GOU
2 - 1
CCF
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SMO
2 - 2
GOU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 0
GHA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 0
GOU
53%
26%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |