Aluminij vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 0
ALU
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
AHM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KRS
3 - 0
ALU
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALU
5 - 0
SEN
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 2
ALU
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 3
NKV
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AHM
2 - 0
SMA
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 2
KRS
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 2
NKD
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |