Aluminij vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ALU
1 - 2
GOR
35%
25%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 0
ALU
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
KRS
1 - 0
ALU
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAD
5 - 0
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 7
TOL
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
NKV
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |