Aluminij vs Roltek Dob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALU
23%
25%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NKI
1 - 3
ALU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
2 - 1
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALU
8 - 1
SMA
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 1
ALU
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Roltek Dob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NKD
0 - 0
RAD
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NKD
1 - 0
KRS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
NKD
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NKD
3 - 2
SEN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
NKD
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |