Aluminij vs Šencur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 2
ALU
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
SMA
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NKD
0 - 0
ALU
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALU
4 - 0
AHM
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALU
4 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RAD
3 - 2
SEN
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 0
BEL
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NKV
2 - 0
SEN
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEN
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 0
SMA
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |