Aluminij vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
47
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
74% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 0
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 2
RAD
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 1
ALU
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ODR
0 - 3
FCK
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VNZ
4 - 0
FCK
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
DOM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 1
FCK
14%
23%
63%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NKK
0 - 6
FCK
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |