Aluminij U19 vs Maribor U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
4º
49
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 2
ALU
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALU
3 - 0
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NKO
3 - 2
ALU
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
3 - 2
NAF
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
RAD
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 3
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
DOM
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
6 - 1
FCK
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +6 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
BRA
16%
18%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |