Altrincham vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 0
WOK
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GUL
3 - 1
ALT
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 1
YOR
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
STE
1 - 0
WOK
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
STE
4 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
WEY
0 - 3
STE
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
STE
4 - 0
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
STE
2 - 1
KET
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |