Altrincham vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BLY
2 - 1
ALT
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
GUI
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 3
ALT
39%
24%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BOS
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 2
UNM
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CUR
0 - 1
NUN
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 0
CUR
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 1
KID
25%
25%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
YOR
1 - 1
CUR
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 1
CUR
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |