Alto Perú vs Mar de Fondo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alto Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 0
POT
31%
23%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 5
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
POT
4 - 2
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
ALB
19%
20%
61%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
ALT
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mar de Fondo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
ORI
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
COL
22%
22%
57%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
8 - 2
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |