Altitude FC vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
6º
5º
23
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altitude FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BDC
1 - 2
ALT
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
ALT
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 0
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 2
SPP
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
SPP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
PRO
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
PRO
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |