Altglienicke vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altglienicke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 0
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ANK
1 - 2
ALT
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALT
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HZE
1 - 2
ALT
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
GWB
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 2
FMS
10%
18%
72%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIC
0 - 0
GSC
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
STR
0 - 4
LIC
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIC
6 - 0
HER
58%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HAN
3 - 0
LIC
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |